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Webinar: CGD Seminar Series: Does Non-Gaussian Calibration Improve Multi-Model Seasonal Forecasts?
Tuesday, 13 October 2020, 1:00
Tuesday, October 13, 2020. 1:00 PM Eastern. Webinar: CGD Seminar Series: Does Non-Gaussian Calibration Improve Multi-Model Seasonal Forecasts? Nachiketa Acharya, Columbia University. Sponsored by CGD. More information here.
In this study, state-of-the-art coupled GCMs of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME_ are calibrated using extended logistic regression (ELR), a non-Gaussian regression method where probability itself is considered as the predictand, to produce a probabilistic seasonal prediction of precipitation and temperature.